May 17,2005, 06:05 PM
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#3 |
| Full PFC Member
Join Date: Jan 2004
Posts: 1,601
| Re: cash games or tournaments
I have never seen a satisfacrory answer to the original question. Nonetheless, here are my thoughts...
Tournaments offer more variance. So, if you require a steady income from poker then avoid them.
Under what circustances whould you NOT require a steady income? If you have a HUGE bankroll you can weather some LONG losing streaks (in fact, some "known" pros are, I think, losers with BIG bankrolls). If you are not a pro. I am, for instance, a recreational player. I am willing to lose $14.5K at the WSOP this year because although it will be a BIG hit to my bankroll it will not kill me. To be sure, I am overplaying my bankroll, but I know that and I do not require a regular income from poker so I can afford the loss.
So, if you don't need a regular income. Or, you are playing for fun then play tournament because they are, for most people, more fun.
Specifically, I don't think the original question can be answered. Are you playing cash games at the $3-6 level or the $300-600 level. If a top players EV is 4 x the buy-in then a $10,000 event nets $30K. Play in fifteen a year and your expectation is $450K per year. If your regular game is $500-1000 limit hold'em then this is the equivalent of 450 hours work. What I mean is, without knowing how big a bankroll one has and a specific comparision of tournament size to ring game size it wil be hard to answer.
Here is what I guess...
In a tournament my expectation is that I will gross 1.5 to 2.5 times the buy-in depending on some varaibles including strength of field and structure of touranment. Estimate the length of a tournament and you will have your hourly win rate. But, remember that tournament will be more streaky.
In a ring game my expectation is between 1 and 1.5 big bets per hour depending upon the strength of the field.
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