Zithal

I have little practice doing Omaha analysis, so please feel free to tear this to pieces (but let me know where I'm making, if there are any, mistakes)

The pot has $6.25 and the BB has just bet the pot so there's $12.50 in there and you have $45. A call is out of the question as you're getting 2-1 on a 4-1 draw to the turn.

So, the option you're considering it pushing here and, if you know your opponent has AK, you're getting no fold equity and you know he's going to push back at you all-in here, which will make you 36%, or approx. 1.8-1 to hit your flush by the end of the hand. (Calculation: 9/45 + (36/45*9/44))

You're betting $45 to win $57.50 which means you're getting approx. 1.3-1 on your money, which makes this a VERY bad move. You'd need a remaining stack size of about $15 to make not folding correct.

(Any errors I've made in the above or does it sound right?)

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DrTyore

In Omaha, I like to think of "pure outs" and "realistic or read" outs.

Pure outs for Johnnie here is any flush card that doesn't pair the board. Since he puts Shannon on the straight, his read outs also count, adding another card (this becomes more significant on the turn to river decision), since a paired board in Omaha usually means a boat. In this case, I would have put shannon on the straight also, but would not have re-potted him. When the board paired on hte turn, I would try to represent it.

Mark

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