May 28,2008, 08:12 PM
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| Living Legend
Join Date: Apr 2004 Location: Toronto
Posts: 3,079
| BBCZ's All-in Callability Quotient
"As the number of all-ins over a specific number of hands by a player increases, so does the likelihood of your opponent calling you."
Scenario: Player A pushes all-in over the top of someone heads up. Player B folds. Theoretically, Player B will now respond next hand by opening up his range of hands he puts Player A on. When player A goes over the top again, Player B's range expands again and again as some player specific rate. When player B's range expands, you win money (he calls your all-ins light).
Now, what happens if Player A shows a big hand every time? Well Player B's range shrinks more and more until he stops playing with you and leaves the table.
Now, this theory can be expanded out to a full table. Everytime that one player goes all-in, the other 9 players at the table make mental notes of it. Each adjusts your range based on their own rates.
BUT, there's almost always one (or maybe like half of one) person at the table that completely thinks you are full of shit and is just dying to get enough of a hand to call you down. Their rate expands too quickly.
When you show your made hands *willingly*(I'm not talking about showdown), the ranges contract away from your own profitability. You lose the ability to profit from incorrect adjustments your opponents make to your actions.
Moral? Don't show made hands when you make the table fold. Big bluffs? Sure, but only if you plan on playing ultra tight for the next 100 hands after.
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13Cards is the worst thing to happen to Canadian Poker ever.
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