Apr 14,2008, 12:17 AM
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#21 |
| Wannabe a Xuan Liu!
Join Date: Sep 2005 Location: Triple range merging online
Posts: 3,098
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It's easier to do the analysis with dollar amounts, so let's assume that the big blind is $5 (e.g., 5/5 game). Hero has $625 (125 BB). Hero has put $55 (11 BB) into the pot when Player A reraises to $200 then the biggest stack Limper2 re-raises all-in. It would cost the hero his remaining $570 to make the call, and Player A his remaining $200. Player A will probably call, so hero would risk $570 to win a total pot of $1670 [(125 BB * 2 + 80 BB + 4 BB) * $5]. He is getting pot odds of 1.9-to-1; he needs to have an equity of over 34% to make calling correct.
Hero has 3 outs for his straight draw, but the nine hearts may not be good as outs. With the betting so far, an Ace-high flush draw or set is among the likely range of all-in hands and hero's hand may not be good even if he hits a flush or straight. "Without reads" on how bad/solid the players are, hero does not have enough probable outs to make calling correct. I would fold and wait for a much better opportunity to risk my $570.
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May your EV always be positive.
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