You have a new PM! Click here here to read it!

Go Back   Poker Forum Canada > Poker Forum > Poker Strategy > No Limit / Pot Limit Holdem

No Limit / Pot Limit Holdem This forum is for No Limit and Pot Limit Holdem Strategy.



Register Now!
Reply
 
Thread Tools
Old Sep 23,2010, 03:52 PM   #1
Looking for a coach
 
Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 2,019
Help me read/analyze this! 2/5 live Monster Pot, Good Villain overshoves the river!

2/5NL ($500 buy in) Live.
Midnight, weekday, lots of regulars. The dealers seem to know most of the players by name.

This takes place at a 24 table room. Usually a bigger $2000 game takes place today here but there was not enough interest today, so this is the biggest game in the room.

I’m doing well and have quadrupled up to $2000. I have the table covered. I’ve been playing tight aggressive. I’ve made moves but I have not been caught out of line or shown a bluff.

Villain in this hand is on a roll. He’s quickly built up his stack from $500 to about $1300 in 3 hours. He’s shown down AA twice and KK once. Each time he limped in from middle position with a big pair, he won a big pot! People at the table don’t seem to put him on a big pair when he limps in, so he’s getting paid off like a MOFO. He’s also shown down AsKs, he check called to the river on a 2 spade board and caught the nut flush on the river, on the river he overbet the pot and got paid. He’s got a shaved head, he’s about 40 with blue eyes. His manner at the table is quiet.

In the orbit before this hand, I bet $25 preflop in early position, and got called in 3 places, the Villain calls on the button. Flop come JXXr, I cbet $100 into a $130 pot, it’s folded to the villain, who shows TT and then makes a speech. “I haven’t seen you play a hand so I’m laying this down!” This is the first thing he’s said to me in 3 hours. He sounds a bit disgusted that he has to lay down TT to me.

The hand:

LoudTable coach ($1000) limps, Clueless Loose($225) limps, Villain ($1300) raises to $25, 2 folds, Passive loose Older Italian gentleman($1000) flat calls the $25. New Young Kid ($225) flat calls the $25. folds to me on the button.
Before you look at your cards, What do you think you should do? What ranges do you raise/call/fold?

Before I look at my cards I think. This is a good squeeze situation. The villain probably doesn’t have AA or KK and he’s advertised that I play tight. The callers probably don’t have monsters and just called loosely.

Do you look at your cards? Or do you just squeeze here?
I think about $175 or $200 would be a good squeeze amount.
I look down to see 76o.

My analysis:

I decide not to squeeze because:
My hand has some value. It might waste the value on a bluff. My hand is almost too good to squeeze.

It’s harder to squeeze with 3 people than 2.
Except for the Villain, the players are loose and might not “know” that they are supposed to fold.
I can use my good position and keep the pot small.
I decide to call with my 7 high rather than fold because, I’m getting 46x +40x implied odds from the Villain and the older gentleman.


I call $25 with 76o. The blinds and Table Coach folds. Clueless calls $25.

Pot $137 - $5 rake.
Flop comes 763 2 clubs. I have one club. 76o. This gives me top 2 pair.
Clueless bet $25. ($200 back)
Villain raises to $150. ($1050 or so back)
Folded to me.

What do you do?

Clueless made a tiny 20% bet and Villain made a pot sized raise.
What ranges do you put the Villain on?
Since the villain raised preflop, I don’t think he has AA or KK since he seems to like to limp his preflop monsters.
I’ve seen him just call/check his flush draws. So I don’t put him on AcKc.
I haven’t seen him raise preflop with small pocket pairs or (suited) connectors.

What hands are good enough for the villain to raise here?

Made hands that beat me.

54 makes the nut straight. There are 16 combinations of 54.
77 makes top set. One combination.
66 makes middle set. One combination.
33 makes bottom set. Three combinations.

Everything else I beat or tie.

I flat call the $150.
It’s folded to Clueless who quickly shoves all in for another $42.

Villain instantly says, “All in”!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

The dealer tells the villain that he can’t go all in since Clueless’s raise isn’t enough to open the betting.
Villain calls the $42.

I tank.

Pot is 192+192+150+132=662.
Even if the villain has a straight or 33 I have odds to call.
I call $42.

The turn is 6d

Board is now: 7636 2 clubs. I have 76 for the 2nd nuts.

Villain insta-shoves $975 (again)

What do you put the Villain on here? What ranges make sense?
__________________
Not smarter than a grade 5 or Kristy Sea

Last edited by ReefAquarium; Oct 01,2010 at 06:37 AM.
ReefAquarium is offline   Reply With Quote
Old Sep 23,2010, 04:37 PM   #2
Full PFC Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Hamilton
Posts: 2,084

PFC Tournament Wins
Single Win Award Single Win Award Single Win Award 
Total Awards: 3

I've seen this movie. You flopped top two pair and turned a boat. There is nothing he can have that you fold to in this spot. If he has the nuts, good for him and you pay him off.

Given all of your reads, I would put him on Tens, or Jacks, maybe A6.
djgolfcan is offline   Reply With Quote
Old Sep 23,2010, 05:09 PM   #3
Full PFC Member
 
Richard~'s Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2009
Posts: 2,660
Quote:
Originally Posted by djgolfcan View Post
Given all of your reads, I would put him on Tens, or Jacks, maybe A6.
wow, if those hands make up a chunk of his range here I want to play at this table ^^'

As played I'd expect him to show up with jacks+ or queens+, flopped sets or straights, or perhaps monster combo draws. Even given reads I don't think we can rule out any of these. It's a fairly safe board for a big overpair and I wouldn't expect him to limp those all the time
Richard~ is offline   Reply With Quote
Old Sep 23,2010, 05:14 PM   #4
Super Moderator
 
compuease's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Milton, poker capital of the world.. after Wloo that is.
Posts: 9,242

PFC Tournament Wins
Single Win Award Single Win Award 
Total Awards: 2

If he has 77 he doesn't shove.. your ahead, get it in... If beat, it just wasn't your day.
compuease is offline   Reply With Quote
Old Sep 23,2010, 05:17 PM   #5
It's phonetic!
 
DrTyore's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Kitchener, ON
Posts: 5,080

PFC Tournament Wins
5 Wins Single Win Award Single Win Award Single Win Award 
Total Awards: 4

Worked through it.... want results before posting thoughts.

Mark
__________________
Life's usually simple, just not always easy
DrTyore is offline   Reply With Quote
Old Sep 23,2010, 05:21 PM   #6
Full PFC Member
 
reibs's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: New Hamburg
Posts: 988

PFC Tournament Wins
Single Win Award 
Total Awards: 1

Visit reibs's Twitter
Quote:
Originally Posted by DrTyore View Post
Worked through it.... want results before posting thoughts.

Mark
what do you think this is, Jeopordy?

I think like Richard said, he shows up with overpairs here a lot. Even though he has shown he likes to limp with the big pairs, it is possible he can change it up. Either way, im not laying this down ever.
reibs is offline   Reply With Quote
Old Sep 23,2010, 05:28 PM   #7
bury my rod
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Location: Chilliwack
Posts: 33
i have to agree with Richard here it feels like JJ's, he likes to limp with monsters but can you really call jacks monsters so he throws in a small raise hoping ot hit on the flop or have the board show up like it did. I shove if he has me beat good on him but no way i am laying this hand down.....i ma interested to see how it ended
hendo is offline   Reply With Quote
Old Sep 23,2010, 06:35 PM   #8
Local Celebrity
 
Wetts1012's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Looking for Reasons to Fold
Posts: 3,838

PFC Tournament Wins
Single Win Award Single Win Award 
Total Awards: 2

Did you post this hand because you thought about folding, or because you want to see what hand ranges play this way?

Anyway, Obv 33,77, JJ+ Although doubt a decent player stacks off here with JJ+.

Also good cash game villain can have a hand like 45cc here for the supernutdraw. I guess A6cc is in there too, assuming the 6c isnt on board, but I doubt he turbo ships the min shove with A6.

I'll say 45cc ftw Alex.
__________________
Waking Up In The Morning and Pissing Excellence
Wetts1012 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old Sep 23,2010, 09:51 PM   #9
Poker Wins = Potato Heads
 
Cerberus's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: Toronto
Posts: 2,721

PFC Tournament Wins
Single Win Award 
Total Awards: 1

If you had seen him play any small pairs, that info would help, because I'm inclined to say he has 33 here. He keeps limping in with monster pairs, so he seems like the kind of player that would then 5x raise with small pairs preflop. If he acts weak, he's strong and vice versa right. Also, I'm thinking he figures he has you absolutely ruined here from his insta all in, which if he's the kind of guy to speech fold 10's with one over card, that's how he'd play bottom set.

At least that's what I think.
__________________
It's time to meet... Mr. Angry Eyes!
Cerberus is offline   Reply With Quote
Old Sep 23,2010, 10:47 PM   #10
Full PFC Member
 
ryanghall's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Instructor at PokerXFactor.com, use code HALL4995 for $70 signup discount.
Posts: 276
Visit ryanghall's Twitter
Jesus Christ, Derick. Fold pre. :P
ryanghall is offline   Reply With Quote
Old Sep 23,2010, 10:54 PM   #11
Inhumano Forboon!
 
darbday's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: BC
Posts: 5,608

PFC Tournament Wins
5 Wins Single Win Award Single Win Award 
Total Awards: 3

couldn't get if villains history showed he was smart or good but among the pairs online ill see ako and aks also. people who don't know how to play them in awkward situations and they isolate to cut losses and look smart with ace high.

can't fold. will take a loss to quads or straight flush anytime. villain wanted all in on the flop.
darbday is offline   Reply With Quote
Old Sep 23,2010, 11:11 PM   #12
#bonking
 
GTA Poker's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: South Bay, California
Posts: 5,929
Visit GTA Poker's Twitter
Define insta-shove. What were his actions as the turn was dealt?

This is never a fold.

Where is the game located? It has some relevance.

In a typical 2/5 game I would strongly skew his range towards 33, obv he rarely turns up with 77. I don't think a straight instashoves without some consideration of the board pairing.

If you mean true instashove as in he didn't even consider the turn then I would weigh overpairs much lighter in his range (unless you peg his as a player that can never lay down queens on a wet board, which it sounds like you haven't).

I guess in summary if he truly instashoves without considering the turn (it is a very significant turn card) and isn't a huge donk (overshoving an overpair) then I'm down to 33, 45 and 77 and never folding without VERY good live tells. Are you allowed to expose your hand or talk to him much with another player all in? This is an ideal spot to get a lot of info from a bad/inexperienced live player by talking to him and him seeing a reaction to your exposed hand, etc.
__________________
That level 5 trap really paid off...ship him the cookies.
GTA Poker is offline   Reply With Quote
Old Sep 24,2010, 09:26 AM   #13
Cash games are evil!
 
pokerJAH's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 1,963
Quote:
Originally Posted by ReefAquarium View Post
LoudTable coach ($1000) limps, Clueless Loose($225) limps, Villain ($1300) raises to $25, 2 folds, Passive loose Older Italian gentleman($1000) flat calls the $25. New Young Kid ($225) flat calls the $25. folds to me on the button.
Before you look at your cards, What do you think you should do? What ranges do you raise/call/fold?
I'm calling with most suited connectors, even unsuited connectors, any pair, AK,AQ, Ax suited. As mentioned, implied odds are so great that most cards are worth a call in this situation.

Quote:
Originally Posted by ReefAquarium View Post
Before I look at my cards I think. This is a good squeeze situation. The villain probably doesn’t have AA or KK and he’s advertised that I play tight. The callers probably don’t have monsters and just called loosely.

Do you look at your cards? Or do you just squeeze here?
might be too obvious on the button. I definitely look at my cards before making this play. Problem is there are two small stacks in the hand that may call you and you are likely way behind.

Quote:
Originally Posted by ReefAquarium View Post
Flop comes 763 2 clubs. I have one club. 76o. This gives me top 2 pair.
Clueless bet $25. ($200 back)
Villain raises to $150. ($1050 or so back)
Folded to me.

What do you do?
I just call; we are way ahead in this situation and you want to milk it. If he has two clubs, so be it.

Quote:
Originally Posted by ReefAquarium View Post
The turn is 6d

Board is now: 7636 2 clubs. I have 76 for the 2nd nuts.

Villain insta-shoves $975 (again)

What do you put the Villain on here? What ranges make sense?
Never folding in this situation and surprised you are questioning what to do? Call and thank God you won this massive pot. Never, never folding!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Probably get more money out of my pocket and throw in the pot as well.
pokerJAH is offline   Reply With Quote
Old Sep 24,2010, 09:43 AM   #14
Untapped Future Greatness
 
T8urmoney's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Edmonton
Posts: 2,646
Visit T8urmoney's Twitter
Not sure how we don't snap caller quicker than the instashove. Sounds like he's a hammer the pot with the nuts kind of guy (as you've described).......I'd be surprised if he had anything other than 45, possibly a set....but I think you'd play that for more value than shoving.

Outside possibility of 10 10+, but that line doesn't make sense if he's a solid player.
__________________
President of the Beration Nation
T8urmoney is offline   Reply With Quote
Old Sep 24,2010, 09:55 AM   #15
Cash games are evil!
 
pokerJAH's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 1,963
is a two outer sob story coming?
pokerJAH is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools


Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
FFS, Great read, dumb villain call djgolfcan Brags, Beats & Variance 1 May 12,2011 08:58 PM
BIG River Bet From Villain... Cerberus Analyze My Hand 1 Dec 06,2010 12:31 AM
Aggression + Luck = monster hand not getting paid off on the river. Cerberus Brags, Beats & Variance 0 Jun 30,2009 02:41 PM
$550 Monthly Monster Monday At River Room FREE ROLL Poker Rooms & Poker Clubs 2 Nov 20,2006 02:47 PM
Good Read or Bad Judgement? gordan_gecco Online Poker Talk 4 May 11,2005 01:08 PM

 
Top Sites
Winner Poker

250% up to $2,000
Bonus Code: Canada
 
PokerStars

$600 FREE
Marketing Code: PSA8177
 
Party Poker

100% up to $500 FREE
Bonus Code: CANADA2012
 

Poker Stars



All times are GMT -5. The time now is 03:16 AM.

Poker Forum Canada offers bonuses for many online poker sites. Party Poker Bonus Code is the best Canadian poker bonus with  Titan Poker Bonus Code being the second best and last but not least is PokerStars Marketing Code. Clearing the full bonus on each site will add a total of $1,700 in bonus cash to your online bankroll.

Powered by vBulletin
Copyright ©2000 - 2012, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
LinkBacks Enabled by vBSEO 3.6.0 © 2011, Crawlability, Inc.