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Old Jan 20,2012, 07:30 PM   #1
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shovins?

ok actually apperently this is the hand in question i think?

theres 15 left here i believe....

this is a standard shove for me though i wouldn't dream of folding?


Poker Stars, $7.34 + $0.66 NL Hold'em Tournament, 800/1,600 Blinds, 150 Ante, 8 Players

UTG+1: 3,970
JodaB. (MP1): 33,990
MP2: 7,081
CO: 1,337
BTN: 13,511
SB: 7,980
BB: 6,150
UTG: 3,908

Pre-Flop: (3,600) 7 9 dealt to JodaB. (MP1)
2 folds, JodaB
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I think I'll just get it in bad here and chalk it up to variance.

Last edited by darbday; Jan 23,2012 at 11:09 AM. Reason: 'wouldn't' i wouldn't dream....i wrote would before
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Old Jan 20,2012, 08:46 PM   #2
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Quote:
Originally Posted by darbday View Post
ok actually apperently this is the hand in question i think?

theres 15 left here i believe....

this is a standard shove for me though i would dream of folding?


Poker Stars, $7.34 + $0.66 NL Hold'em Tournament, 800/1,600 Blinds, 150 Ante, 8 Players

UTG+1: 3,970
JodaB. (MP1): 33,990
MP2: 7,081
CO: 1,337
BTN: 13,511
SB: 7,980
BB: 6,150
UTG: 3,908

Pre-Flop: (3,600) 7 9 dealt to JodaB. (MP1)
2 folds, JodaB
What's your shove range in this spot?
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Old Jan 20,2012, 08:57 PM   #3
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Quote:
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What's your shove range in this spot?
it depends on some table conditions...anything from bw, pairs, aces and a few suited connectors.....to sometimes almost atc

depends on my image and who's left to act

but im playing almost pure chip ev with 15 left
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Old Jan 22,2012, 12:16 AM   #4
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With the blinds as high as they are, any one of the short stacks behind you can call profitably, knowing that 10-18 make the same money. So why not try to double or even triple up ?

You already have the final table average stack, why risk so much on a marginal hand ?
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Old Jan 22,2012, 12:44 AM   #5
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With the blinds as high as they are, any one of the short stacks behind you can call profitably, knowing that 10-18 make the same money.
yes but they don't play like that...they play tight here

Quote:
Originally Posted by djgolfcan View Post

You already have the final table average stack, why risk so much on a marginal hand ?
its not really marginal in this spot i don't think..its debatable but with everyone calling so tight i think its a +ev push, and we're a far cry from first i think.

out of the stack likely to call most of them won't really put a dent in us. the bigger stack is going to be really tight.

and people who will call will often shove up with Ax or Kx or pairs and i think we have good equity because we aren't as often dominated compared to shovin a lesser ace

range will be close to this...


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I think I'll just get it in bad here and chalk it up to variance.

Last edited by darbday; Feb 01,2012 at 10:37 PM.
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Old Jan 22,2012, 03:35 PM   #6
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I don't like risking here when we don't need too. button shove sure....more profitable but from ep it can't be profitable....if so barely.
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Old Jan 22,2012, 08:52 PM   #7
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everyone after us has rat stacks with like 5BB except one 9BB, rip that shit, gotta be fine at this level. $215 turbo 2x chance you can fold maybe.
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Old Jan 23,2012, 06:38 AM   #8
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button, co, and maybe hj i'm pushing here. probably not sooner. granted i'm most likely thinking results because sb always has AA here.
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Old Jan 23,2012, 07:22 AM   #9
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everyone after us has rat stacks with like 5BB except one 9BB, rip that shit, gotta be fine at this level. $215 turbo 2x chance you can fold maybe.
but...but...BB is almost guaranteed to call us for a flip. doesn't that make it a bit of a negative freeroll? Or do we expect fold equity at times here?
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Old Jan 23,2012, 08:22 AM   #10
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shove is fine here imo, but I def miss these spots in game a lot I think.

And yes, you will get folds here sometimes from bb.
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Old Jan 23,2012, 09:11 AM   #11
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but...but...BB is almost guaranteed to call us for a flip. doesn't that make it a bit of a negative freeroll? Or do we expect fold equity at times here?
def expect FE at this level unless he's a reg I guess
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Old Jan 23,2012, 09:34 AM   #12
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aight, then shove away
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Old Jan 23,2012, 09:44 AM   #13
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def expect FE at this level unless he's a reg I guess
What about the cut-off ? He has less than a BB, he has to call with anything, doesn't he ?
And our hand is not ahead of a random hand.
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Old Jan 23,2012, 10:23 AM   #14
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$215 turbo 2x chance you can fold maybe.
only if its btp's money tho
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Old Jan 23,2012, 10:23 AM   #15
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I'm totally out of my league here, but let me toss out a thought...

Buddy has <1BB, thus if everyone folds and he calls, we take down the difference between his stack and the BB, making it pretty much a free shot at busting him. You win, right on, life's good. You lose, no problem there either and he doesn't exactly have a new lease on life. Also, it allows you to shove the next monster and get snapped off by the 5-9BB stacks thinking you're bullying.

Or am I just totally out to lunch and off base here?
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