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Old Mar 20,2011, 10:48 AM   #1
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Spew?

18/360 left in a 5 dollar tournament on betsson. Villain is playing 30/12 with a 35% EP VP$IP for some random reason so I decided my AJ was ahead of both limpers ranges, also villain had been winning and losing big pots and playing around a lot the past few orbits. would you push the flop once he donks?

I'll post results a little bit later

OnGame - 500/1000 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3: PokerTracker - Online Poker Software, Player Stats Tracking & HUD

LP: 26,408.00
CO: 49,204.00
BTN: 30,136.00
SB: 11,568.00
BB: 37,676.00
UTG: 52,632.00
UTG+1: 27,038.00
MP: 13,238.00
Hero (MP+1): 21,790.00

SB posts ante 100.00,
BB posts ante 100.00,
UTG posts ante 100.00,
UTG+1 posts ante 100.00,
MP posts ante 100.00,
Hero posts ante 100.00,
LP posts ante 100.00,
CO posts ante 100.00,
BTN posts ante 100.00,
SB posts SB 500.00,
BB posts BB 1,000.00

Pre Flop: (2400.00) Hero has

UTG calls 1,000.00,
UTG+1 calls 1,000.00,
fold,
Hero raises to 5,000.00,
fold,
fold,
fold,
fold,
fold,
UTG calls 4,000.00,
fold

Flop: (13400.00, 2 players)
UTG bets 6,500.00,
Hero raises to
16,690.00 and is all-in

Last edited by Richard~; Mar 20,2011 at 10:50 AM.
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Old Mar 20,2011, 10:57 AM   #2
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Jam's probably fine yea. Depends on reads/game flow and such, but if he's gonna be bluffing here a lot then it's fine. Your hand plays well against spades and such when he has those. If he's dumb enough to play a K like this then wp sir.
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Old Mar 20,2011, 07:42 PM   #3
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Yeah, that's pretty much what I was thinking. Actually he folded getting pretty insane odds on a call and I doubled up for free.

I raised to 5k pre to commit myslelf and discourage calls but after the hand I started thinking about how many chips I had exposed on that flop and what kind of equity I would have against his LimpCallDonk range
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Old Mar 21,2011, 01:38 PM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Richard~ View Post
Yeah, that's pretty much what I was thinking. Actually he folded getting pretty insane odds on a call and I doubled up for free.

I raised to 5k pre to commit myslelf and discourage calls but after the hand I started thinking about how many chips I had exposed on that flop and what kind of equity I would have against his LimpCallDonk range
Yea I mean you might have to change your plan sometimes on the flop since you're still not getting odds to get it in no matter what, esp if 2 guys call the odd time, but it's a decent general plan and you're gonna make profit overall as long as the limpers are loose/passive enough. On this type of flop I just feel peoples bluffing ranges are so wide on paired boards esp at this level because they're just really awful level 1/barely level 2 thinkers, and they're like "he couldn't hit this, I'll bluff it" not realizing you don't have to hit it to get it in.

So yea just make sure you don't stack evvvery flop, like I'd give up on 987,456, 457, 367, etc etc type boards a lot just because it hits them so hard and when we get it in our equity is so thin. But overall it's a good exploitive line at this level imo.
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