Thoughts on river overshove - Page 2

syphilaids · 02-08-2010, 03:24 PM

don't mind the shove, but its player dependant.

If you think he'll hero call then go for it. If eh has a K then it doesn't matter what you do the money is going in.

If not, then a C/R is better as you MIGHT get an extra bet from TT, JJ, QQ, AA if he's an idiot.

moose · 02-08-2010, 05:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Wetts1012

Edit: No idea what he had cuz my brilliant play resulted in a fold.

Yeah you do. He didn't have a king.

I think I like compuease's line on this.

Quote:

Well as played to the river, I bet whatever I think he will call without a K. That way you get something if he has AA or a flush perhaps. If he has a K he is re-raising and you get to push then. Pushing first means you likely only get a call with a K. Best of both worlds IMO... lol... I am not concerned about KK... ever..

jdAA88 · 02-08-2010, 05:16 PM

I think it should be mentioned that govshark2 is one of the best mtt pros out there, not your avg tourney donk.

Knowing this I'd probably get 800ish on the river.

darbday · 02-08-2010, 09:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by T8urmoney

If you set the value bet @ $700 (a little less than half the pot), and he calls any non-king made hand I would say 50% of the time.....giving you an average profit of $350 on the river.

If you shove $3150, and he calls any non-king hand say 15% of the time....giving you an average profit of $472.50.

I think a shove has the best value.....of course my calling percentages may be off, this is where your read comes in.

you really don't have to change these numbers much to sway the scale the other way i don't think.