So heres the situation. I was playing a Sit N Go last night and i was delt JJ on the button, 4 players remain, i have just above an average stack size, and the player under the gun raises 6x the big blind, i havent seen him make a raise this big ever in the game so far. The next guy folds and the action is to me... I give the guy respect for his raise and fold, im about 90% sure my play was way too tight. The i ended up calling an all-in bet the very next hand with AK suited so basically, am i an idiot for folding pocket jacks to a pot i could afford to get involved in rather than risking it all with AK suited?
Need to know the percentage of your stack that was that 6X BB raise. The way he played it he had a monster or was overbetting to protect a weaker hand. You have to form the opinion at the table. Folding there is tough but not out of the question.
That big a raise I would typically put him on a big ace or a smaller pair (66 -TT/(QQ)) that he doesn't really want action with. I would push as doubling gives you a much greater expectation at first. If you lose just play another. Push is correct given my guess at his range even if you include AA/KK.
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That level 5 trap really paid off...ship him the cookies.
To get a definitive answer you need to start plugging hands into and ICM calculator. (or ask Ryan)
Since there is a big difference between 4th and 3rd (0% vs 20%) my guess is that you need to play very very tight....
I'd call here with KK or AA.
But...there's a great difference between 1st and 3rd, no? I think doubling gives you a big advantage for first so pushing is the play. Would be cool to see some ICM numbers though.
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That level 5 trap really paid off...ship him the cookies.
Who is Ryan? Unless Johnith posts the blinds, stack sizes and payout structure, one can't do the ICM calculations. I can take a wild guess that it is correct to fold JJ and AKs on the bubble, but IT DEPENDS on the numbers.
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May your EV always be positive.
I can't really imagine doing anything but shoving here. ICM is going to make close decisions folds but this seems like a double fist pump shove. Of course stack sizes are obviously very important, and you weren't the button, 4-handed, and 3rd to act in this hand unless there's a dead SB.
Who is Ryan? Unless Johnith posts the blinds, stack sizes and payout structure, one can't do the ICM calculations. I can take a wild guess that it is correct to fold JJ and AKs on the bubble, but IT DEPENDS on the numbers.
I don't see how this isn't a push.
__________________
That level 5 trap really paid off...ship him the cookies.
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