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Aug 05,2008, 10:25 AM
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#1 | | Average sized member
Join Date: Jul 2007 Location: KDub
Posts: 475
| Range of hands
I was handcuffed in a few instances at the satellite game on Saturday night and it caused me to get into a corner fairly early. Anyway I am questioning a couple instances where I could and probably should have acted differently.
-you are in an aggressive tournament with about 8 people at the table
-blinds are 100/200 and you have 1600 left (started with 3k)
-you are on the button and there is a dead small
-everyone folds to you
-BB has 6k~8k in chips and has seen a decent number of flops thus far but has proven tight and honest to a good bet
What range of cards do you push with here? For me I am going to push with most hands here. But will you push with any two cards?
I looked down at 6 2 offsuit and folded reluctantly (to gasps and sighs from around the table). As it was pointed out to me by another member that should have been an auto-push no matter what hand I had.
What would you do?
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Aug 05,2008, 10:28 AM
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#2 | | It's phonetic! |
You're on the button, and you have no antes... you have 5 hands before you have to pay another blind - odds are you're going to pick up something better than 6-2 o...
Mark
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Aug 05,2008, 11:51 AM
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#3 | | Full PFC Member
Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 2,823
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ATC while you still have fold equity along with a tight BB.
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Aug 07,2008, 11:54 PM
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#4 | | Full PFC Member
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 37
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I'm with DrTyore. Although your range of hands in this situation is definitely widened, 62o is still a muckable hand.
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Aug 18,2008, 05:16 AM
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#5 | | Full PFC Member
Join Date: Aug 2008 Location: Toronto
Posts: 15
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I was just checking out this ebook and noticed a chart about pocket card winning odds.
62o is ranked 163 out of 169 hands. 4.72% hands won.
To put it in perspective.....   is #1 31% and   is #169 4.04%
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Aug 18,2008, 06:53 AM
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#6 | | Local Celebrity |
I will make life easy for you: http://members.cox.net/wastrel333/Pushbot%20Charts1.pdf
If you havent seen one of these before it is a standard pushbot chart.
It basically gives you info on the most profitable +Cev moves given your hand and position. Keep in mind this is not $ev.
And yes, at this point (M5) you are making a profitable shove.
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Last edited by Wetts1012; Aug 18,2008 at 07:34 AM.
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Aug 18,2008, 09:50 AM
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#7 | | Full PFC Member
Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Fredericton
Posts: 26
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I disagree here. The button has proved to likely be reasonable competent, and can probably reason out that you will push any two cards here. Which means conversely he can add whats in the pot, do the math and probably call with any two. 6-2 off suite in an obvious any two cards spot is in the muck. Push something that at least has a better chance of catching lightning in a bottle.
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Aug 18,2008, 10:07 AM
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#8 | | Local Celebrity | Quote:
Originally Posted by DonkJedi I disagree here. The button has proved to likely be reasonable competent, and can probably reason out that you will push any two cards here. Which means conversely he can add whats in the pot, do the math and probably call with any two. 6-2 off suite in an obvious any two cards spot is in the muck. Push something that at least has a better chance of catching lightning in a bottle. | Hero is the button here. It has been folded to him. He is facing a tight BB. There is no SB.
There is 200 in the pot. Hero is pushing 1600. This is not an auto call by any means by the BB - hero still has fold equity here.
Change your opinion?
With an M of 5 I think this is an ATC situation against even a loose villain, let alone a TAG.
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Last edited by Wetts1012; Aug 18,2008 at 10:10 AM.
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Aug 18,2008, 10:25 AM
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#9 | | Full PFC Member
Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Fredericton
Posts: 26
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yes, i do believe it does. my apologies. misread the original post in my haste. had the hero been shorter then my post makes marginally more sense.
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Aug 18,2008, 11:24 AM
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#10 | | SHIP IT, BITCHES!
Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 3,388
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couple of factors to consider:
- it is a satellite. single payout? or heavily weighted towards 1st prize? so some of the standard tournament strategies don't necessarily apply here. i'm wondering if ICM can be used or is it invalid? i think you really only care about +cev moves here and can ignore the $ev considerations.
- range of hands he will call you with. he has 30xbb. you say he is tightish. how does his stack compare to others? is he smart enough to know you will be pushing with any 2? these kind of things impact his calling range and make a big difference on whether this is +cev or not.
in favour of pushing, you have only 1 guy to get through, his stack is not huge and he likely has a narrower calling range than he should in this situation. you also have a high degree of urgency to pick up chips. on the negative side, your hand bloz.
as long as he calls < 25% of the time, this looks +cev. i think we can agree this should be the case?
on balance, i'd say push.
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Aug 18,2008, 11:53 AM
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#11 | | Local Celebrity |
Even on a loose calling range it is still +Cev at M5. 22+ A2s+ A2o+ KTs+ KJo+ QJs QJo JTs
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Aug 19,2008, 04:12 PM
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#12 | | Wannabe a Xuan Liu!
Join Date: Sep 2005 Location: Triple range merging online
Posts: 3,098
| Quote:
Originally Posted by pkrfce9 - it is a satellite. single payout? or heavily weighted towards 1st prize? so some of the standard tournament strategies don't necessarily apply here. i'm wondering if ICM can be used or is it invalid? i think you really only care about +cev moves here and can ignore the $ev considerations.
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on balance, i'd say push. | The prize structure of my rake-free $160 satellite was basically something like: $1,240+ Step Q Fallsview seat for 1st place, $460+ Step 2 seat for 2nd place, and ~$170 Step A seat for 3rd place. ICM is not invalid and I will never ignore $EV considerations.
I would have pushed with the worst heads-up hand possible - 2-3! This is how I got eliminated from the first and possibly last WPT rake-free satellite. I got raised by 2-3 and while I made the correct call on the big blind as a 2-to-1 favourite, I was outdrawn and my opponent went on to win the $1,240+ first prize.
If there is anybody left that has a SERIOUS interest in playing a WPT rake-free satellite this Sunday (or another day), let PIRANHA (Georgetown) or The_Game (Mississauga) know ASAP. Fallsview finally had its first busy weekend of raked satellites, where more sharks are showng up. Five friends who didn't sign up for the rake-free satellite were quickly eliminated from the Fallsview turbos, and wasted over $2,000. On Saturday night when I sat down for the final $1,240 satellite, the table was full of WSOP, WPT and Ultimate Poker Challenge faces I recognized. Since I could only see sharks and no  in this table, this so-called "satellite king" realized how highly -EV it was to stay so I ran away like a little girl instead of getting raped by the professionals and $860 rake.
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May your EV always be positive.
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Aug 25,2008, 09:06 PM
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#13 | | Run Good Wizard |
I played the 460 on Friday and finished 4th. Trip report to follow.
Cliff notes:
Structure is similar to a PS turbo SNG. I recommend playing high volumes of those to understand ranges and timing with pushes.
I found my competition to be similar of a 16.00 SNG on PS. One or two decent players but still lacked a lot of metagame and fundamental end game strategies to be successful.
Players count themself out before the blinds become a factor. I was down to 500 chips at 50/100 and clawed my way back. (I was quite surprised no big stack called my shoves just to get rid of me)
Overall I think not counting the rake, the structure was something I was used to as online SNGs progress this way and I found no problems navigating. Just can't do anything when raises get called OOP with deuces and my Ks get cracked...lol.
This is my first serious attempt to qualify so I am quickly be noted as a regular there (which is -ev for me  )
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