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Old Aug 25,2008, 09:53 AM   #1
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Poker Question

Hi all,

I have a poker question that another player and I were disagreeing upon. Here is the situation;

This is a pre-flop call situation in limit poker. I have 8-6 suited, on the button, I'm in for 2 bets preflop and then it gets capped (4 bets) coming back to me with 6 players already in and 2 players folding for 2 bets. This leaves me with 12-1 on my money if I call. What is the correct play, fold or call?

Thanks for any feedback
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Old Aug 25,2008, 09:58 AM   #2
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Havent had time to verify your math, but if its right I call with a 2 and the cut card here.
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Old Aug 25,2008, 10:04 AM   #3
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Originally Posted by Wetts1012 View Post
Havent had time to verify your math, but if its right I call with a 2 and the cut card here.
This!!
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Old Aug 25,2008, 10:41 AM   #4
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Easy call.
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Old Aug 25,2008, 11:09 AM   #5
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Call and suckout.
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Old Aug 25,2008, 03:51 PM   #6
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fold and try not swear at the dealer when you hit your straight flush!
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Old Aug 25,2008, 04:21 PM   #7
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If you're going to call with 86, you might as well 3 bet it.
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Old Aug 25,2008, 08:17 PM   #8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tonypapa1 View Post
Hi all,

I have a poker question that another player and I were disagreeing upon. Here is the situation;

This is a pre-flop call situation in limit poker. I have 8-6 suited, on the button, I'm in for 2 bets preflop and then it gets capped (4 bets) coming back to me with 6 players already in and 2 players folding for 2 bets. This leaves me with 12-1 on my money if I call. What is the correct play, fold or call?

Thanks for any feedback
It's pretty certain to be a correct call here but I have to wonder how you ended up with 2 bets in the pot in the first place. That may have been the real problem/leak.

There are many examples in poker, especially NL where your previous betting (or even worse calling) could put you into a position where you have to call another bet based on the pot odds, even when you know you should not be there in the first place. This is commonly referred to as "committing yourself to the pot".

It doesn't happen as frequently in Limit but my guess is that this is the case in your hand here.
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Old Aug 26,2008, 07:19 AM   #9
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Originally Posted by Pantsonfire View Post
It's pretty certain to be a correct call here but I have to wonder how you ended up with 2 bets in the pot in the first place. That may have been the real problem/leak.

There are many examples in poker, especially NL where your previous betting (or even worse calling) could put you into a position where you have to call another bet based on the pot odds, even when you know you should not be there in the first place. This is commonly referred to as "committing yourself to the pot".

It doesn't happen as frequently in Limit but my guess is that this is the case in your hand here.
This....

At the end of the day having good pot odds doesn't overcome crappy cards. 6-8 suited isn't 'bad' in terms of holding but certainly puts you at a disadvantage.

In limit where I've had a marginal holding pre-flop and I call 2 bets when I shouldn't, and it's capped ahead. I can't justify calling 2 more bets and throw good money after bad.
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Old Aug 26,2008, 07:27 AM   #10
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Havent had time to verify your math, but if its right I call with a 2 and the cut card here.
Don't get this mentality at all. In limit you get proper odds to call a lot of things a lot of the time. At some point you need to have a holding that has a reasonable shot of winning.

Against 6 players 6-8 suited is almost certain to have at least 1 native out shared with another player (A-6, Q-8?). Even flush draws on the flop aren't automatically clean and can cost you a few BB. Your only real hope with that many players in is the straight but even then you could idiot-end it for the loser which again costs you a BB or 2.

Flop comes 843 rainbow, where are you in the hand? You have top pair crappy kicker and against 6 players can be easily up against much better hands.

I'll review my copy of Small Stakes Hold'em where they discuss this a bit and post what they say.

I had to come back and edit this to go into more detail.

First:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 15.569% 14.44% 01.12% 113696 8853.02 { 8d6d }
Hand 1: 14.042% 12.91% 01.13% 101643 8882.27 { random }
Hand 2: 14.149% 13.02% 01.13% 102484 8883.27 { random }
Hand 3: 14.041% 12.91% 01.13% 101594 8923.61 { random }
Hand 4: 14.105% 12.98% 01.12% 102183 8840.19 { random }
Hand 5: 14.108% 12.98% 01.13% 102180 8871.02 { random }
Hand 6: 13.987% 12.88% 01.11% 101349 8742.61 { random }

Your equity in this hand is poor (though barely ahead) against that many players with those cards.

Secondly, the betting has been capped, it's likely someone has SOMETHING. A pocket pair higher than 7's and your equity edge is completely gone. Best case scenerio would be if all the other players have each others outs something like this:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 47.827% 47.75% 00.08% 902677 1524.71 { 8d6d }
Hand 1: 23.989% 22.87% 01.12% 432422 21102.05 { AKo }
Hand 2: 08.622% 07.51% 01.11% 141934 21064.05 { AQo }
Hand 3: 08.442% 07.33% 01.11% 138573 21032.38 { AJo }
Hand 4: 02.656% 02.45% 00.21% 46262 3953.71 { KJo }
Hand 5: 05.673% 05.47% 00.21% 103340 3915.71 { QJo }
Hand 6: 02.791% 02.58% 00.21% 48784 3985.38 { KQo }

Where all the other players in the hand are drawing to a single out, however I suspect this is unlikely.

And finally as an example of how pot odds can really be juiced up in Limit (good opportunity to see if I'm doing this right) (assuming 2/5 limit)

You are on the button, you've called 2 bets and the BB raises as does the original raiser.
So now you are facing 2 more bets on the button with only the BB to complete for the last 2 if he wants to stay in.

For your first 2 bet call, you are getting 6.5 to 1 (26 in the pot, and 4 for you to call) , and after the UTG player caps the betting you are getting better than 14 to 1 for your 4 more call. (58 in the pot and 4 for you to call)

On the flop you are getting 32:1 to call a single bet (64 in the pot and 2 to you) before any other callers.

Assuming you see the turn where things get expensive, you are still getting a minimum of 13:1 (assuming you and 1 other player paid $2 on the flop) (68 in the pot and 5 to you). That's enough to draw for almost any hand.

And the river assuming a bet and call on the turn is 15:1 (78 in the pot and 5 to you)

So, as you can see (and I still am going to look up the info in SSHE) pot odds can be artificially inflated to allow you to call with any prayer of a draw all the way through a limit hand.

**NOTE: I'm not a machine, I make mistakes. If you see any, please point it out. I use this forum to learn too.
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Last edited by zunni74; Aug 26,2008 at 10:55 AM.
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Old Aug 26,2008, 10:28 AM   #11
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Quote:
Originally Posted by zunni74 View Post
Don't get this mentality at all. In limit you get proper odds to call a lot of things a lot of the time. At some point you need to have a holding that has a reasonable shot of winning.

Against 6 players 6-8 suited is almost certain to have at least 1 native out shared with another player (A-6, Q-8?). Even flush draws on the flop aren't automatically clean and can cost you a few BB. Your only real hope with that many players in is the straight but even then you could idiot-end it for the loser which again costs you a BB or 2.

Flop comes 843 rainbow, where are you in the hand? You have top pair crappy kicker and against 6 players can be easily up against much better hands.

I'll review my copy of Small Stakes Hold'em where they discuss this a bit and post what they say.
This reply is from a mobile devise so I can't run things through poker stove or cut and paste from 2 dimes but 68s vs AA, QQ, 44, KJs, T9s, and 87s is...

roughly .068 when somebody has a higher flush draw, and
roughly .102 when they don't

Since you need about .077 equity, this should be clear call mathematically.

2dimes couldn't handle duece-cut card but 72o is running about 25 to 1 against!
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Old Aug 26,2008, 10:45 AM   #12
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"I can't justify calling 2 more bets and throw good money after bad."

It could also be argued that one should not let a poor decision of the past influence the proper decision at the moment. You are where you are at the moment and there is no changing that. Decide based on the finite moment.
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Old Aug 26,2008, 10:57 AM   #13
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Originally Posted by The_Awesome View Post
"I can't justify calling 2 more bets and throw good money after bad."

It could also be argued that one should not let a poor decision of the past influence the proper decision at the moment. You are where you are at the moment and there is no changing that. Decide based on the finite moment.
I won't argue against this. See my edited response as to how very quickly pot odds can come together at a loose fishy table to justify any/all calls. I think we can all agree that sometimes the best choice is to lay down garbage regardless of the odds being offered.
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Old Aug 26,2008, 12:13 PM   #14
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Indeed.
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Old Aug 26,2008, 01:08 PM   #15
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Originally Posted by MickeyHoldem View Post
This reply is from a mobile devise so I can't run things through poker stove or cut and paste from 2 dimes but 68s vs AA, QQ, 44, KJs, T9s, and 87s is...

roughly .068 when somebody has a higher flush draw, and
roughly .102 when they don't

Since you need about .077 equity, this should be clear call mathematically.

2dimes couldn't handle duece-cut card but 72o is running about 25 to 1 against!
Look at my edited reply, by the time we reach the turn we have good enough odds to chase down any hand. Calling the extra 2 bets pre-flop may be 'mathematically' the right play, but at the end of it all, you are still holding 8 high against 7 oppt's.. Do you like that spot enough to throw in another 2 bets?

And as I mentioned in my previous reply, flop kinda hits you, with 1 or 2 overs, someone bets into you. Can you call 1-2 bets with bottom pair and 7 oppt's? In this case it's not about the fact you may have the best hand, it's that because of the pre-flop action you will have no idea where you stand.
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