Mar 06,2005, 08:35 PM
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#6 |
| Full PFC Member
Join Date: Jan 2004
Posts: 4,251
| Call? Fold? What?
So, there is at least 3,300 in the pot when he calls 3,600 more with the JJ. Not a huge pot, but I wouldn't call it small either. A call from the JJ is proabably still wrong, but it's pretty close. He needs to feel he has about a 35% chance overall of winning the pot to make calling here correct, so it depends on his perception of how often you would bluff in this spot.
The tricky part is assessing these two probabilities:
1. That you have a hand that is currently winning.
2. That you would bluff given that you have not made a hand.
The whole exercise is going to depend on how tricky he thinks you are in general, as well as how desparate he thinks you may be on the short stack, and what sort of hands are in your pre-flop box based on how you played before the flop.
Poker ain't easy.
On a stack of 8 big blinds with AK on the button facing (at least) one previous limper, I'd be more inclined to simply push all-in pre-flop.
ScottyZ
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