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Old Jan 05,2008, 01:43 AM   #1
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late MTT

If this looks like a bbv post..just skip it. However it feels like forever since I've been deep.

About 1800 entrants, 16 left...10th-18th is $250..first is over 8 grand..I am slightly below average stack and the big stacks are pretty aggressive. I really don't want to call here...I want to fold vs. the big stacks and raise the smaller ones in the right spots, I'm likely not the most skilled player left... but I'm pretty far from the bottom.

I want to fold but can't.....Do I have any case for folding here? ty.

*********** # 1 **************
PokerStars Game #14332746826: Tournament #71876270, $25.00+$2.50 Hold'em No Limit - Level XXI (6000/12000) - 2008/01/05 - 01:37:22 (ET)
Table '71876270 6' 9-max Seat #4 is the button
Seat 1: knifeson (188421 in chips)
Seat 2: Akala16 (207312 in chips)
Seat 3: nikkinik30 (240546 in chips)
Seat 4: thepescis (241572 in chips)
Seat 5: cswindhizzie (105287 in chips)
Seat 6: riverdave (498200 in chips)
Seat 8: rambo1067 (451926 in chips)
Seat 9: DOONNNKKKK (95435 in chips)
knifeson: posts the ante 1200
Akala16: posts the ante 1200
nikkinik30: posts the ante 1200
thepescis: posts the ante 1200
cswindhizzie: posts the ante 1200
riverdave: posts the ante 1200
rambo1067: posts the ante 1200
DOONNNKKKK: posts the ante 1200
cswindhizzie: posts small blind 6000
riverdave: posts big blind 12000
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Akala16 [Qh As]
rambo1067: raises 24000 to 36000
DOONNNKKKK: folds
knifeson: folds
Akala16: raises 170112 to 206112 and is all-in
nikkinik30: folds
thepescis: folds
cswindhizzie: folds
riverdave: folds
rambo1067: calls 170112
*** FLOP *** [Ts 8d 3h]
*** TURN *** [Ts 8d 3h] [5d]
*** RIVER *** [Ts 8d 3h 5d] [4d]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
rambo1067: shows [9h 9d] (a pair of Nines)
Akala16: shows [Qh As] (high card Ace)
rambo1067 collected 439824 from pot
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Old Jan 05,2008, 04:08 AM   #2
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I was in the FT of $30 5k guaranteed last night I had the same dilemma i had AK and i was facing a raiser. I pushed he took about a minute to call me with pkt 8s, and the 8s held up, I ended up in 5th place.

My point is pushing your stack is a good idea, but ive always wondered if I re-raised him in that position, maybe he would throw it away and I wouldn't get burnt.
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Old Jan 05,2008, 07:29 AM   #3
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If he's been very aggressive I can't see folding here, though I definitely have no problem folding AQ to early position raises in a lot of situations.
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Old Jan 05,2008, 10:48 AM   #4
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you do have position on him, and therefore i would consider just calling here. however, at the same time i hate just calling in most situations.

16 left though, and you still have a relatively decent sized stack (M=17ish). personally, i think it would matter specifically on the villian's image. if he's aggressive i might call/raise. if he's tight i'd probably call/fold. AQ is a good starting hand, but i prefer starting the action preflop as opposed to following it. my advice would be to fold it and wait for a better opportunity (where you can start the action and be in control). you are not that short stacked that you have to risk your whole tournament on what is probably going to be a coin flip (or worse).

i feel that AQ is probably the most overplayed hand (besides AK perhaps). most of the time you're a slight underdog to a pocket pair or dominated by AK. unless it's down to maybe 4 or 5 players left (or less), i promised myself that i'd not go broke with AQ preflop (unless i'm obviously shortstacked and desperate).

folding has a few benefits: 1) possibly move up to the higher payout; 2) gives you another opportunity to dictate the action in the pot as opposed to reacting to it (i.e. it's better to make your opponents have to make tough decisions than you having to make them).
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Old Jan 05,2008, 11:16 AM   #5
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His M is 7.5

I push

Math - it's what the cool kids are doing

Mark
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Old Jan 06,2008, 10:08 AM   #6
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DrTyore View Post
His M is 7.5

I push

Math - it's what the cool kids are doing

Mark
you're right. i meant to refer to BBs and not M. he has just over 17 BBs is what i wanted to say.

Last edited by m_dolens; Jan 06,2008 at 10:21 AM.
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